Friday, June 13, 2014

The World Cup of Transportation



As the 2014 World Cup kicks off this week, we thought it would be fun to put together a bracket based on which countries have the best transportation infrastructure.   We utilized the World Bank’s rankings of each country’s infrastructure to determine which World Cup teams would advance.  Using the World Cup’s groups and bracket, we simply selected the countries that have the best infrastructure as the winner.  Here’s how it all shakes out:

Group A:
Brazil
Croatia
Mexico
Cameroon
Advancing: 1. Mexico,  2. Brazil

Group B:
Spain
Chile
Netherlands
Australia
Advancing: 1. Netherlands, 2. Australia

Group C:
Columbia
Greece
Ivory Coast
Japan
Advancing: 1. Japan, 2. Greece

Group D:
Italy
England
Uruguay
Coasta Rica
Advancing: 1. England, 2. Italy

Group E:
France
Switzerland
Ecuador
Honduras
Advancing: 1. Switzerland, 2. France

Group F
Argentina
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Nigeria
Iran
Advancing: 1. Argentina, 2. Nigeria

Group G:
Germany
Portugal
United States
Ghana
Advancing:  1. Germany, 2. United States

Group H:
Russia
Belgium
South Korea
Algeria
Advancing: 1. Belgium, 2. South Korea

Now that we’re down to the round of 16, here’s how the bracket plays out.


Observations about the bracket:

  • With the top infrastructure globally, Germany is our World Cup champion.  This is not a bad pick considering Germany is one of the favorites according to most experts.  ESPN’s Nate Silver gives Brazil a 45% chance to win, Argentina 13%, Germany 11% and Spain 8%.  No other team has more than a 4% chance to win.

  •   As you can see, heavy-favorite Brazil is upset in the first round according to our methodology. 

  •   Another top-pick, Argentina, also makes an early exit in this bracket.
  •   The United States and Japan making the final four would be shocking according to most oddsmakers.

 So, that’s how our bracket plays out.  Who do you have winning yours?

1 comment:

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